My name is Jay Ulfelder, and I’m an American political scientist who theorizes and forecasts democratization and various forms of political instability. Since the end of 2010, I’ve made a living as an independent consultant. For the 10 years before that, I worked for a large government contractor as research director for the U.S. Government-funded Political Instability Task Force. I do not earn any income from this blog, although I do hope it occasionally leads to new and interesting paid projects. You can see my CV here, and you can find me on Twitter as @jay_ulfelder.
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